Context:
A renewable energy developer was evaluating multiple locations in South Africa for a large-scale solar and wind energy project. While environmental and grid assessments provided technical feasibility insights, a socio-economic and political risk analysis was required to determine viability.
Challenge:
Some locations faced high levels of socio-economic inequality, complex land tenure systems, and potential resistance from local communities due to competition for land and employment expectations. Additionally, political factors such as municipal governance efficiency and policy incentives varied across regions.
Solution Provided:
Applying Emerging Dynamics, we conducted:
- Location Suitability & Site Selection Research: Assessing economic conditions, infrastructure availability, and social acceptability for renewable energy development.
- Cultural & Political Risk Assessment: Identifying governance risks, policy stability, and the potential for bureaucratic delays.
- Community Engagement Framework: Mapping out key stakeholders, including landowners, municipalities, and traditional councils, to establish early-stage trust and alignment.
- Social Impact Assessment: Predicting potential displacement risks, employment opportunities, and social tensions that could arise.
Outcome & Impact:
The research revealed that one of the shortlisted locations had unresolved land claims and strong opposition from agricultural stakeholders, making it a high-risk investment. Instead, the developer opted for a site with strong municipal backing, lower regulatory hurdles, and a workforce ready for upskilling. This pre-emptive approach saved millions in potential legal battles and ensured smoother project execution.